Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Misdirected Prognostication

It seems that whenever there is a particularly bad stretch of weather both private conversations and news reports turn to references of what the future weather ramifications are.

Almost as though, already miserable, we are compelled to make ourselves more miserable yet.

The interesting thing is, the portents of what the future holds are based on past attempts to predict the weather. Attempts that I suspect had a much lower accuracy level than repetition suggests.

For every heavy fog in September, October, and November there will be a snowfall in December, January, or February the Farmer's Almanac supposedly says.

Somewhere along the line someone replaced fog with rain and now folks are talking about how we're destined to endure another string of blizzards come the colder months because of the torrential rains we've had this month.

Why is it folks aren't inclined to look for the upside? Hey, the rain has to stop eventually and then we'll be back to blue sky and sunshine are the kinds of portents that should be shared.

Myself, I'm counting on several more weekends spent ocean-side before I worry about what the early months of 2011 hold.

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